Iran-Israel tensions and the possibility of war: It was announced that revenge would be taken for the death of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh and in the meantime Hezbollah and Houthis attacked some Israeli military bases with drones. According to reports, a civilian was killed in this attack. While many soldiers were injured. However, Iran has not yet directly attacked Israel. Now Israel is saying that if it gets evidence of an attack from Iran, it will not sit quiet. Overall, the possibility of war between Iran and Israel cannot be ruled out. Let us know the whole story of this tension and the possibility of war.
Drone attack on Israel
With the ticking of the clock, the possibility of war between Iran and Israel is increasing continuously. Citing Iranian sources, different news agencies have already claimed that Iran can attack Israel at any time. But meanwhile, a news coming from Israel is increasing the tension further. In the Israeli capital Tel Aviv, at 3:12 in the night, suddenly the sound of a drone is heard in the sky amidst the darkness. But before that drone is found, people’s screams are heard along with an explosion. Actually, this drone was launched by those Houthi terrorists of the neighboring country Yemen, who are against Israel in this tension between Iran and Israel and have been supporting Hamas.
An alarm bell for Israel
Although a civilian died in this drone attack, which cannot be called very terrible in terms of the attacks happening here, but the way the terrorists breached Israel’s security circle with just one drone and targeted its capital is definitely a warning bell for Israel. But this attack is not the only one. Just a day before this, Hezbollah had injured at least six soldiers in a drone attack on an Israeli military base. While Israel has killed six Hezbollah fighters in a few hours with its attack, 50 more people have been killed in the war going on in Gaza.
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Trying to create a war like atmosphere
Obviously, all these circumstances indicate that these proxies of Iran, that is, these organizations fighting a proxy war on behalf of Iran, are now engaged with full force in creating an atmosphere of war in the region. And at present, the situation is such that just one spark can start this scheduled war a few hours earlier.
Preparing to attack Iran
Meanwhile, Israel has also made it clear that if it gets a confirmed intelligence input about Iran’s attack, then it will not wait for Iran’s attack. Rather, it will attack Iran itself. But amidst all this, while a report has drawn everyone’s attention, it has also given a hint about what the form of this war could be. This report is from the Institute for the Study of War.
Israel is the target of Iran
Citing Defa News, run by the Iranian Armed Forces, this report explains where and how Iran can attack Israel. This report, released on August 5, mentions the possible Israeli military and civilian targets that Iran can target. This list includes Israeli military bases, the Israeli military ministry office in Tel Aviv, the Knesset building in Jerusalem, Israel’s eight airbases, as well as important buildings in many cities, airports, gas fields, power plants and other locations.
Iran prepared a target list
In this report, it is said that the reason behind Iran releasing such a list is to divert the attention of the Israeli defense system. Actually, Iran’s target list is quite long and there are many important locations of Israel spread across a large area in this list, which Israel can try to secure after the release of this list. That is, it can spread its air and missile defense assets in a large area. And in this situation, Iran can attack some selected places.
It will be difficult to intercept missiles in the air
The report states that earlier when Iran launched a missile attack on Israel on 13 April 2024, the American and Israeli co-alition intercepted most of the missiles in the air and shot them down, causing minimal damage to Israel. But if this time the attack comes from countries like Iraq, Lebanon or Syria apart from Iran, then it will be more difficult for Israel to intercept those attacks than before, because if attacks are made from these places, then the distance from the launch of the missile to hitting its target will be less than before. Secondly, due to the reduced distance, the flight time in the sky will also be reduced and due to this the missiles will not be easily caught.
Iran is creating mental pressure through the list
According to the report, the purpose of publishing such a list of targets is less to identify these targets but more to have a strategic and economic impact. By putting the names of civilian locations in this list, Iran is also trying to understand how much damage it can cause to Israel and how Israel can retaliate against Iran in return. That is, the purpose behind publishing this list seems to be more to create a mental strategy.
Russia stands with Iran
There is an old saying that the enemy’s enemy is a friend. In this war, Russia and China have already said that they will stand with Iran. Especially because America is supporting Israel against Iran on this front. But now Russian President Vladimir Putin has also given his green signal to Iran’s revenge plan. However, Putin has sent a secret message to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and warned him about some conditions of this attack. Sergei Shoigu, who is considered close to Putin, himself reached Iran with Putin’s message a few days ago, after the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, where he made Khamenei aware of Putin’s point of view. In view of the fears of war, Shoigu also held a meeting with senior Iranian officers in Tehran. If sources are to be believed, in this secret message, Russia advised Iran to avoid attacking civilian targets in Israel and also reminded about its consequences.
Iran asks Russia for air defense systems
On the other hand, amid fears of war, Iran has appealed to Russia to start the delivery of Sukhoi SU-35 fighter jets soon. While Russia is preparing to enter into a detailed agreement with Iran. Russia has already provided Iran with advanced air defense systems and various types of radars. A report in the New York Times states that Iran has demanded more air defense systems from Russia, while Iran already has the Russian-made S-300 air defense system, which can detect many attacks in advance. Meanwhile, some sources have claimed that amid the possibilities of war and turmoil, Russia is now going to start supplying S-400 defense system to Iran.
Fighter jets and warships deployed around Israel
The dangerous turn that the tension between Iran and Israel has reached can be gauged from the fact that friendly countries like America and Britain have started deploying their fighter jets and warships around Israel to help it. Britain has kept Royal Navy ships as well as RAF helicopters on standby.
Iran will definitely attack
Looking at the current situation, it seems that Iran has linked the death of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyya and Hezbollah’s military chief Fuad Shukr to its prestige and wants to target Israel at any cost. Iran’s neighboring countries like Jordan and Lebanon have started diplomatic efforts to reduce the tension after the death of both, but Iran is not budging from its intention. According to a report, the foreign ministers of Jordan and Lebanon also visited Iran to take stock of the situation and reduce tension after Haniyya’s death, but Iran made it clear that it will attack Israel under any circumstances, even if a full-fledged war begins?
Assessment of former CIA director
In an interview given to Iran International, former director of the American intelligence agency CIA, David Petraeus, has expressed the hope that even if Iran attacks Israel, both the countries would like to avoid jumping into a full-fledged war at this time, because if a full-fledged war breaks out between the two countries, both the countries will suffer terrible losses and both Iran and Israel would not want this. He said that the way Ismail Haniya was killed inside Tehran is a big intelligence and security failure and a big setback for Iran.
Which country is with whom?
Now the question is who will support whom in case of war and how? If sources are to be believed, Iran can get help in this attack from Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias of Syria and Iraq and Houthi rebels of Yemen, but none of these countries have openly said that they will support Iran so far. Although Russia and China have definitely supported Iran, but it is not clear how much and what kind of support these two countries will give to Iran in case of war. Whereas before this, Jordan’s stance has been neutral. Because earlier when Iran fired missiles on Israel, then along with America, Jordan also helped Israel. At the same time, Saudi Arabia and UAE also provided inputs to America. The special thing is that if missiles are fired from Iran, Iraq or Yemen targeting Israel, then they will have to cross the sky of Jordan, and Jordan had made it clear last time that it will not allow anyone from Iran and Israel to violate its airspace.
Source (PTI) (NDTV) (HINDUSTANTIMES)