After the recent Lok Sabha elections, now state elections are to be held. The Election Commission has announced the dates for elections in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir. After these elections in two states, people of Jharkhand and Maharashtra will also vote to elect their government for the next five years. Elections are also to be held in the Union Territory of Delhi in February next year, which is not far away. To gauge the mood of the electoral states, India Today and C Voter conducted a survey. According to this survey, what is the message of the people of the electoral states for the political parties?
What is the mood of Haryana
In Haryana, whether it is the work of the government or the performance of the Chief Minister or the MLAs-MPs, dissatisfaction is visible. In the Mood of the Nation survey, a large part of those who are somewhat satisfied are also there and their role can be decisive in determining the results.
Function of the Government: According to the Mood of the Nation survey, 27 percent people of Haryana have expressed satisfaction with the functioning of the government. 25 percent people are somewhat satisfied and 44 percent people have expressed dissatisfaction.
Functions of the Chief Minister: The number of people satisfied with the work of Chief Minister Naib Saini is 22 percent, those somewhat satisfied are 19 percent, and those dissatisfied are 40 percent.
Role of the Opposition: 31 per cent people expressed satisfaction with the role of the opposition and 22 per cent were somewhat satisfied. 34 per cent people said they were dissatisfied.
Performance of MPs: In response to a question about the performance of MPs, 29% people were satisfied, 21% were somewhat satisfied and 38% were dissatisfied. All 10 Lok Sabha seats in Haryana were held by BJP MPs. In this Lok Sabha election, both BJP and Congress won five seats each. These results also show people’s displeasure with BJP MPs. Now Congress also has five MPs. In such a situation, it will be interesting to see what the public opinion is about them.
Work of legislators: On the question of the work of the MLAs, 33% people said they were satisfied, 20% were somewhat satisfied and 40% were dissatisfied. BJP has 41 MLAs in the assembly while Congress also has 31 MLAs. JJP also has 10 MLAs. In such a situation, it will be interesting to see whose number of dissatisfied MLAs is more. The results will also depend on the attitude of the 20% people who are somewhat satisfied.
Unemployment and inflation are big issues: In Haryana, 45 percent people have said unemployment is the biggest issue. 14 percent people have said inflation, 13 percent have said development and 3 percent people have said corruption is the issue. If unemployment and inflation are big issues in the eyes of the public then this cannot be called a good sign for the ruling party. This was the biggest issue in the Lok Sabha elections as well and BJP had to suffer the loss of five seats. Discontent on every front and these issues after this, may make the road difficult for BJP in Haryana elections.
Modi is the first choice for PM: 51 per cent people of Haryana have chosen Narendra Modi for PM and 41 per cent people have chosen Rahul Gandhi.
What is the message of Haryana
According to the Mood of the Nation survey, voters of Haryana seem to be unhappy with the performance of the government and the Chief Minister, and the performance of MPs and MLAs. People are also not satisfied with the performance of the opposition and in such a situation, there can be an opportunity for the Aam Aadmi Party as well. Sanjay Kumar said about this that these figures are clearly indicating that it is a warning bell for the BJP. The public seems to be angry on all issues. Ashutosh said that in 2019, BJP had won all 10 Lok Sabha seats. Then in the assembly elections, BJP got only 40 seats. Today, when only five Lok Sabha seats have come, there can be a landslide. In Haryana, BJP removed Khattar but the people who were made the BJP have no identity of their own.
What is the opinion of Jammu and Kashmir
Unemployment is the biggest issue: 47% of the people of Jammu and Kashmir said that unemployment is the biggest issue. 17% people said inflation, 11% said development and 2% people said law and order is the biggest issue.
Modi is the first choice for PM: 40 percent people of Jammu and Kashmir have said that Narendra Modi is their first choice for the post of Prime Minister. 38 percent people have said that Rahul Gandhi is their choice for PM.
What is the message of the people of Jammu and Kashmir
Sanjay Kumar said that unemployment is a big issue and when it is discussed, youth and many people join in. BJP may have to face big difficulties. Ashutosh said that if 47 percent people are saying that unemployment is an issue, then it is a question of survival. BJP had won 25 seats from Jammu region in the 2014 elections. Now the question is whether BJP will be able to save these seats or not.
What is the mood of Maharashtra
Function of the Government: 25% people expressed satisfaction with the work of the government. 34% are somewhat satisfied and only 34% are dissatisfied.
Performance of Chief Minister: 35% people are satisfied with the work of Chief Minister Eknath Shinde. 31% people are somewhat satisfied and 28% people are dissatisfied. A large section of people seems satisfied with the work of CM Shinde. People are trusting CM Shinde. There is also a big chunk of swing voters who can go either way. Whichever side the somewhat satisfied people go to, the scales will tilt.
Role of the Opposition: On the question of the role of the opposition, 11% people said they were satisfied, 21% said they were somewhat satisfied and 30% said they were dissatisfied. There is also a large group whose answer was that they cannot say anything.
Performance of MPs: 32 per cent of people in Maharashtra are satisfied, somewhat satisfied and dissatisfied are 22-22 per cent.
Performance of MLAs: 41 percent people of Maharashtra have expressed satisfaction with the work of MLAs. 26 percent people say that they are satisfied to some extent and 27 percent people are dissatisfied.
The biggest issue: 32% people have said that unemployment is the biggest issue. 15% people have said that development and inflation are the biggest issues and 13% have said that problems related to farmers are the biggest issues.
First choice for PM: 56% people have said that Narendra Modi is their first choice for the post of PM. 34% people want to see Rahul Gandhi as PM.
What is the message of Maharashtra
These figures of the Mood of the Nation survey show that the number of people unhappy with the work of the government is high but the number of people unhappy with the work of CM Shinde is less in comparison. There is no anti-incumbency or anger against the government in Maharashtra.
What is Jharkhand’s opinion?
official business: 27 percent people expressed satisfaction with the work of Jharkhand government. 37 percent people are dissatisfied and 34 percent people are somewhat satisfied.
Work of CM: 35 percent people have expressed dissatisfaction with the work of CM Hemant Soren. 25 percent people are satisfied and 30 percent people are somewhat satisfied. These figures
Role of the Opposition: 14 percent people are satisfied with the role of the opposition. 30 percent people are dissatisfied and 17 percent people are somewhat satisfied.
Work of MPs: 24 per cent people expressed satisfaction with the work of MPs. 29 per cent people are dissatisfied and 26 per cent people are somewhat satisfied.
Work of legislators: 28 per cent are satisfied and 35 per cent are dissatisfied. 31 per cent people are somewhat satisfied.
Unemployment is the biggest issue: 44% people consider unemployment as the biggest issue. Inflation is considered by 15% people, development by 14% and corruption by 3% people.
Modi is the first choice for PM: For the post of PM, 56 percent people have said Narendra Modi and 35 percent people have said Rahul Gandhi as their first choice.
What is the message of Jharkhand?
The figures of Mood of Nation are being considered as an indication that Hemant’s emotional card may fail in the assembly elections. Dissatisfaction with MPs and MLAs is also visible openly. People are not that enthusiastic about BJP either. Sanjay Kumar said that the figures are telling that whoever is in power, if they do not work, the public is putting them in the dock. Ashutosh said that BJP seems to be getting an edge. The emotional card of arrest does not seem to work that much. Now it remains to be seen how the campaign picks up.
Source (PTI) (NDTV) (HINDUSTANTIMES)