Democratic Senator Sherrod Brownis lead over Republicans Challenger Bernie Moreno has narrowed to just two points in recent polls, making the Ohio race even tighter. The Senate A meeting before the 2024 elections.
The poll, conducted by Emerson College for the Hill between September 3 and September 5, surveyed 945 likely Ohio voters. It found that 46 percent of respondents supported Brown, while 44 percent supported Moreno.
Brown’s slim advantage is now within the poll’s margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points, reflecting a tight contest as both candidates prepare for what could be one of the nation’s most closely watched Senate races.
Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight ranks Emerson College as the ninth best pollster on a list of 277 companies based on its historical track record and methodology, giving it a rating of 2.9 out of three stars.
The survey marks a change from the wide margins seen in previous polls. Last week, a SoCal strategy poll commissioned by the right-wing Red Eagle Politics favored Brown Five point lead over MorenoThe Democrat won 50 percent of the vote to Moreno’s 45 percent. 600 potential voters were polled in this survey conducted from August 31 to September 1.
Despite serving as an Ohio senator since 2007, Brown’s seat is by no means a secure Democratic hold given the state’s rightward tilt in recent election cycles. For decades, Ohio was seen as a bellwether stateAfter selecting the eventual winning presidential candidate in each election between Lyndon Johnson in 1964 Donald Trump In 2016. This trend stopped in 2020 when Trump managed to retain Ohio by eight points (53 percent to 45 percent), but lost the White House to the president. Joe Biden.
Flipping seats in Ohio will help Republicans In his attempt to gain control of the Senate, which is currently split between 50 senators whose caucus Democrats And with 49 Republican PartyOne seat is vacant.
Brown is leading in every poll against Moreno in 2024, despite Ohio being a state that has leaned Republican in recent national elections. Previous polls showed the Democrat maintaining a modest lead, ranging from four to six points, but Moreno’s ability to close the gap in the Emerson College survey reflects a possible shift in voter sentiment as the race heats up.
In the ActiveVote poll of 400 likely voters, which was conducted between July 20 and August 12, Brown led by five points with 53 percent of the vote to Moreno’s 48 percent.
A Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impacts Research survey of 600 likely voters showed Brown with 42 percent of the vote to Moreno’s 46 percent, giving the Democrat a four-point lead. The voting took place between July 23 and 28.
Newsweek Senators Sherrod Brown and Bernie Moreno were reached for comment outside of regular office hours via email and online inquiry form, respectively.
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