Last Updated on 17/08/2024 by wccexam Desk
The Election Commission on Friday announced the dates for the assembly elections of Jammu and Kashmir and Haryana. Elections will be held in three phases in Jammu and Kashmir while elections will be held in a single phase for 90 seats in Haryana. The election results of both the states will be declared on October 4. This is the first time after the results of the Lok Sabha elections that BJP and Congress will once again face each other in the electoral arena. The first direct contest after the Lok Sabha elections is to be in Haryana.
Now the question is who will win the assembly elections? Will BJP make a hat-trick or will Congress make a comeback? All the parties have their own claims about their performance in the elections, but there are mainly 2 big players in the electoral arena. The parties contesting the Haryana elections are BJP, Congress, Aam Aadmi Party, JJP, Indian National Lok Dal and BSP. The big thing is that there is an alliance of Aam Aadmi Party and Congress in Delhi under the banner of INDIA alliance, but in Haryana both the parties will contest the elections separately.
Congress’s account opened in Lok Sabha
Congress claims that BJP’s defeat in the assembly elections is certain. The reason behind Congress’s claim is their performance in the Lok Sabha. In fact, Congress could not win a single seat in the 2019 elections in Haryana, but reached 5 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Where Congress’s vote share increased from 28.51 percent votes in 2019 to 43.67 percent. That is, Congress was successful in increasing its vote share along with seats. In simple words, the results of the Lok Sabha elections were 50-50, that is, the road to the assembly elections will not be easy for the BJP. However, just before the announcement of the election dates, Chief Minister Naib Singh Saini announced several schemes to please the farmers.
These three big issues will be there in Haryana elections
There are three major issues in the Haryana assembly elections, on which Congress is on the offensive and BJP is on the backfoot. The first issue is the farmers’ resentment over MSP. The second issue is resentment over the Agniveer scheme. The third issue is the case of sexual exploitation of a female wrestler. Even though all three agricultural laws have been repealed, farmers are still protesting in Haryana and Punjab demanding MSP. Farmers have been sitting on the Haryana-Punjab border for several months. A few days ago, a group of farmers met Rahul Gandhi in Parliament. Rahul had promised to give legal guarantee to the farmers on MSP.
In such a situation, the issue of farmers will dominate the state assembly elections, while on the other hand BJP will counter the opposition’s narrative through its social engineering. To balance the caste equations, BJP removed Manohar Lal Khattar and made Nayab Singh Saini the Chief Minister. A Brahmin face was made the state president and to make inroads into the Jat vote, Congress rebel and Haryana former CM Bansi Lal’s daughter-in-law Kiran Chaudhary was inducted into the party. Now the question is whether BJP will be able to remove the resentment of the Jat community with the entry of Kiran Chaudhary, because BJP’s entire focus in Haryana is on non-Jat voters.
This is the caste equation of Haryana
To balance the caste equation in Haryana, all the parties have prepared a formula of social engineering. BJP’s entire focus is on non-Jat voters, Congress on Jat and Dalit voters, INLD and JJP’s influence is mainly limited to Jat voters. AAP’s focus is on all voters. By the way, what is the caste equation of Haryana, it can be understood like this.
Jats – 22 percent
Dalits – 20 percent
Ahir – 10 percent
Brahmins: 8 per cent
Punjabi – 8 percent
Muslims – 7 percent
Sikhs – 4.9 percent
Rajputs – 4 percent
Gujjars – 2.8%
Saini – 2.5%
Vishnoi – 2 percent
Assembly elections will be held in Jammu and Kashmir after 10 years
The dates for elections in Jammu and Kashmir have also been announced. Elections are being held in Jammu and Kashmir after 10 years, i.e. after 2014. Voting is to be held in Jammu and Kashmir in three phases on 24 seats on 18 September, 25 seats on 25 September and 40 seats on 1 October, and the results will be declared on 4 October. But after the abolition of 370, the situation is different now. Jammu and Kashmir has become a Union Territory and after delimitation, the seats have also increased. Actually, in 2014, elections were held on 87 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, now the seats have increased to 90. Talking about the Jammu region, earlier there were 37 seats, which have now increased to 43 seats and earlier there were 46 seats in the Kashmir region, which have now increased to 47 seats. Earlier, 4 seats of Ladakh were included in Jammu and Kashmir, but now Ladakh has become a separate UT.
Which party has lead in how many seats
Let us tell you that in December last year, the Supreme Court had ordered to conduct elections by September 30 and the elections are being held within that deadline. After the removal of Article 370, the 2024 Lok Sabha elections have also been held in Jammu and Kashmir. And now the dates for the assembly elections have come. Let us tell you who has a lead on how many seats in Jammu and Kashmir on the basis of the Lok Sabha elections.
NDA is leading on 30 seats, in which BJP is leading on 20 and People’s Conference on 1 seat and INDIA alliance is leading on 46 seats. In this, National Conference is leading on 34 seats, Congress on 7, PDP on 5 and others on 14 seats, in which independents are leading on 14 seats. In this respect, PDP does not seem to be standing anywhere this time. The same PDP, which formed the government last time by forming an alliance with BJP. But this time the election in Jammu and Kashmir is different and there seems to be a competition between National Conference and BJP.
With the abolition of Article 370 and 35A on 5 August 2019, Jammu and Kashmir became a Union Territory. After this, regional parties like National Conference and PDP suffered a major setback. But to prevent the situation from deteriorating in Jammu and Kashmir, Mehbooba Mufti and Omar Abdullah were put under house arrest. Then the question was that who knows what will happen to Jammu and Kashmir now? But the situation changed and peace was restored in Jammu and Kashmir. First the Lok Sabha elections were held and now once again the assembly elections are going to be held.
How many seats are voting in which phase
– Voting for 24 seats in the first phase on September 18
– Voting for 26 seats in the second phase on September 25
– Voting will be held on 40 seats in the third phase on October 1
-Results for all seats will be declared on October 4
BJP’s mission had started with PM Modi’s visit to JK
After the results of the Lok Sabha elections were announced on June 4 and after taking oath as the Prime Minister for the third time, Narendra Modi reached Jammu and Kashmir. Here he distributed appointment letters to the youth and laid the foundation stone of 84 projects worth Rs 1500 crore and projects worth Rs 1800 crore for the development of agriculture and related sectors. That is, BJP’s mission election started from here. The big thing is that elections are being held in Jammu and Kashmir after 2014 i.e. after 10 years. Assembly elections were held in Jammu and Kashmir in December 2014. At that time no party got absolute majority. PDP became the largest party with 28 seats, BJP became the second largest party with 25 seats. At that time BJP had won the maximum number of seats in Jammu region, while PDP had won the maximum number of seats in Kashmir region.
The electoral battle of Jammu and Kashmir is interesting
In March 2015, Mufti Mohammad Sayeed of PDP became CM and Nirmal Singh of BJP became Deputy CM in BJP-PDP alliance. On 7 January 2016, Jammu and Kashmir CM Mufti Mohammad Sayeed died. On 4 April 2016, Mehbooba Mufti of PDP became CM in BJP-PDP alliance. On 19 June 2018, BJP withdrew support from the PDP government. On 20 June 2018, Governor’s rule was imposed in Jammu and Kashmir and on 21 November 2018, the assembly was dissolved there. On 5 August 2019, Article 370 was abolished from Jammu and Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir became a Union Territory, Ladakh became a separate Union Territory. After delimitation, the seats of Jammu and Kashmir have increased from 87 to 90. This time the electoral battle of Jammu and Kashmir is very tough. BJP has laid out the entire strategy in the last 5 years, so the regional parties in Kashmir are also looking desperate to take revenge from BJP in the elections. And Congress may be seen standing with these regional parties against BJP. Farooq Abdullah says that he is also ready to become the CM of Jammu and Kashmir.
(Aaj Tak Bureau)
Source (PTI) (NDTV) (HINDUSTANTIMES)