Last Updated on 09/08/2024 by wccexam Desk
Voting will be held on September 3 for 12 Rajya Sabha seats. The Election Commission has announced the election schedule for these seats in 9 states. The seats for which elections are to be held include two seats each from Assam, Bihar and Maharashtra. Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Tripura, Telangana and Odisha have one seat each. The tenure of the new members who will be elected will be for the remaining term of the outgoing members. That is, the tenure of all these members will end between next year 2025 and 2028. Know what are the electoral equations in which state?
These 10 seats have become vacant after the resignation of Kamakhya Prasad Tasha and Sarbananda Sonowal in Assam, Misa Bharti and Vivek Thakur in Bihar, Deepender Hooda of Haryana, Jyotiraditya Madhavrao Scindia of Madhya Pradesh, Chhatrapati Udayan Raje Bhosale from Maharashtra, Piyush Ved Prakash Goyal, KC Venugopal from Rajasthan and Biplab Dev from Tripura. All these members have won the Lok Sabha elections. At the same time, Keshavrao of Telangana and Mamata Mohanta of Odisha have resigned, after which elections are being held on these vacant seats. Nominations for the elections will start from August 14. Voting will be held on September 3. Voting will be held in the assemblies of the respective states from 9 am to 4 pm. Counting will be held from 5 pm on the same day and the results will be declared by night.
How many members did which party have now?
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Of the 12 Rajya Sabha seats for which elections are to be held, the maximum number of 7 Rajya Sabha MPs were from BJP. After that, there were two members from Congress, one each from BRS, BJD and RJD.
BJP had two seats each in Assam-Maharashtra, one seat each in Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Tripura. Congress had one seat each in Haryana-Rajasthan and RJD had one seat in Bihar. Similarly, BRS had one seat in Telangana and BJD had one seat in Odisha as Rajya Sabha MPs. In Telangana, K. Keshavraj left BRS and joined Congress in July. While Odisha’s Mamta Mohanta left BJD and joined BJP just a week ago.
What are the electoral equations?
If we look at the latest equations, BJP is confident of repeating its performance in Maharashtra, Bihar and Haryana. The ruling Mahayuti has sufficient numbers in Maharashtra. However, NDA allies Shiv Sena Shinde faction and NCP Ajit faction were displeased with the inclusion in Modi cabinet. Similarly, there is NDA government in Bihar as well. Here BJP’s equations will depend on the alliance partners. A tough fight can be seen in Haryana as well. BJP’s numbers have reduced due to Dushyant Chautala’s party leaving JJP. Assembly elections are also to be held in Maharashtra and Haryana this year. Everyone’s eyes are on the results of the election states.
In Assam, Madhya Pradesh and Tripura, the victory of BJP-supported candidates is also considered certain. In the Rajya Sabha elections, BJP hopes that it can win two-three more seats. However, this is not easy. The states from which BJP has high hopes include Rajasthan and Odisha. BJP has a special focus here. Since BJP has won a bumper victory in Rajasthan in the 2023 assembly elections. BJP can snatch the seat from Congress in Rajasthan this time. Similarly, BJD may get a setback in Odisha and BJP can snatch this seat. In the 2024 assembly elections, BJP has won a big victory in Odisha. Let us tell you that Telangana’s BRS and Odisha’s BJD are not part of any alliance right now.
What are the expectations of the opposition alliance?
The opposition alliance INDIA Block has hopes from Maharashtra, Haryana and Telangana. In Maharashtra, Mahavikas Aghadi will try to snatch one seat from Mahayuti. However, this is not easy. In Haryana too, the equations have changed due to JJP leaving. There is not much difference in the figures of Congress-BJP. There is good news for Congress from Telangana. If Congress can lose one seat in Rajasthan, then there are chances of compensating this loss in Telangana. The ruling Congress can snatch a seat from BRS here.
There is a competition between BJP and RJD in Bihar. Both the parties are facing the challenge of saving their respective seats. However, if there is cross voting then BJP may get a setback. Here BJP and RJD can win one seat each. There is an NDA government under the leadership of JDU in Bihar. The electoral equations have changed there due to Nitish Kumar changing sides.
Know how many MLAs each party has in all 9 states?
Assam: There are a total of 126 seats in the Vidhan Sabha. BJP has 60 seats and has a majority government. Since elections are to be held for two Rajya Sabha seats here, it is expected that BJP can win both these seats easily.
Bihar: There are 243 seats in the assembly. BJP has 78 MLAs in the ruling NDA. JDU has 44 and HAM has 3 MLAs. INDIA block’s RJD has 77 MLAs. Congress has 19 and CPI has 15 MLAs. While there is one AIMIM and two independent MLAs. Four seats are vacant, on which by-elections are to be held. There is a difference of 14 seats between the parties of both the alliances. Cross voting here can spoil the equation further.
Haryana: There are 90 assembly seats in the state. The ruling BJP has 41 MLAs and one MLA from HLP party. There are five independents. Out of these, three MLAs joined Congress. BJP has the support of 2 independents. In the opposition, Congress has 29 MLAs. While JJP has 10 and Indian National Lok Dal has one MLA. JJP is not a part of any alliance. Three seats are vacant, where by-elections are to be held. If BJP contests the election, it has an upper hand. However, cross voting cannot be ruled out. And if this happens, Congress will get direct benefit.
Madhya Pradesh: There are 230 seats in the Vidhan Sabha. BJP has 163 seats here. Congress has 66 and others have 1 seat. Here too, the victory of the BJP candidate is considered almost certain.
Maharashtra: There are 288 assembly seats in the state. The ruling NDA has 211 MLAs. These include 103 from BJP, 40 from NCP (Ajit Pawar), 38 from Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde) and support of independents. At the same time, Congress has 37 members in MVA, Shiv Sena (UBT) has 15 and NCP (Sharad Pawar) has 12 members. Other parties include three from Bahujan Vikas Aghadi, two from Samajwadi Party, two from AIMIM, two from Prahar Janshakti Party, one from PWP, one from Rashtriya Samaj Paksha, one from Communist Party of India (Marxist), one from Krantikari Shetkari Party, one from Jan Surajya Shakti and 13 independent members. The two Rajya Sabha seats that have fallen vacant belong to BJP. Here too, both the seats seem to be going to BJP’s account.
Rajasthan: There are a total of 200 seats in the Vidhan Sabha. The ruling BJP has 114 MLAs. Congress has 66, Bharat Adivasi Party has 3, Bahujan Samaj Party has 2, Rashtriya Lok Dal has 1 MLA. There are 8 independent MLAs. 6 seats are vacant, on which by-elections are to be held. If we look at the number game, BJP has a chance of winning in Rajasthan as well.
Tripura: There are a total of 60 assembly seats in the state, BJP has 32 MLAs. Congress and Left Alliance got only 14 seats. MLAs of Tipra Motha Party were elected on 13 seats. BJP has more numbers in Rajya Sabha elections, so BJP is seen winning here too.
Telangana: There are a total of 119 seats in the assembly. The ruling Congress has 65 MLAs. BRS has 38 and BJP has 8 MLAs. AIMIM has 7 and CPI has 1 MLA. Congress has the numbers game in the state.
Odisha: There are a total of 147 seats in the Vidhan Sabha. The ruling BJP has 78 MLAs. BJD has 51 MLAs. Congress has 14 and Left Front has 1 and 3 independent MLAs. BJP has the upper hand here.
Who won the Lok Sabha elections from where?
– BJP leader Piyush Goyal has won the Lok Sabha election from Mumbai North seat. He has won the general election for the first time. Goyal is currently the Minister of Commerce and Industry in the Modi government. He has also been a minister in the previous two terms of the Modi government.
– BJP leader Sarbananda Sonowal has won from Dibrugarh seat of Assam. He is a minister in the Modi government. He has also been the Chief Minister of Assam.
– BJP leader Jyotiraditya Scindia has won the Lok Sabha elections from Guna seat in Madhya Pradesh. He has become a minister for the second time in the Modi government. He has the responsibility of the Department of Telecommunications and the Ministry of Development of Northeast.
– Apart from this, Congress leader Deepender Hooda won the election from Rohtak Lok Sabha seat. He is the son of former Haryana Chief Minister Bhupendra Hooda.
– In Bihar, RJD’s Misa Bharti has won the election from Patliputra seat. BJP leader Vivek Thakur has won from Nawada. BJP leader Kamakhya Prasad Tasa has won from Assam’s Jorhat seat and Biplab Kumar Deb has won from West Tripuri. KC Venugopal has won from Kerala’s Alappuzha seat.
How are Rajya Sabha elections conducted?
In the Rajya Sabha elections, MLAs from all the state assemblies participate. Members of the Legislative Council do not vote in it. There is a voting formula for Rajya Sabha elections. To understand the selection process, you will have to understand the +1 formula. To understand this process, we take the example of Uttar Pradesh. Actually, 1 is added to the number of Rajya Sabha seats that are vacant in the state. Then it is divided by the total number of assembly seats. The number that comes out of this is then added by 1.
Understand it like this, if voting is to be held for 10 Rajya Sabha seats in a state. If 1 is added to it, this number will become 11. Now the number of assembly seats will be seen. If there are 399 MLAs in that state, then it will be divided by 11. In this case, the number will be 36.272. It will be considered as 36. Now if 1 is added to it, the number will become 37. That means, to win one Rajya Sabha seat, votes of 37 MLAs will be needed. For Rajya Sabha elections, all MLAs do not vote for all the candidates. An MLA can vote only once. They have to tell who is their first choice and who is their second choice.
How many members does which party have in Rajya Sabha right now?
There are 250 members in Rajya Sabha. Out of these, 238 members are elected. The remaining 12 members are nominated by the President. How many Rajya Sabha members will be there from which state is decided on the basis of its population. Currently, there are 87 members of BJP, 4 of JDU, 2 of NCP, 1 of JDS, 1 of RLD, 1 of RPI, 1 of Shiv Sena in Rajya Sabha. In the opposition, there are 26 members of Congress, 13 of TMC, 10 of Aam Aadmi Party, 10 of DMK, 5 of RJD, 6 of Left Front, 4 of Samajwadi Party, 3 of JMM, 2 of Muslim League, 2 of Sharad Pawar faction, 2 of Uddhav Thackeray faction, 1 of Kerala Congress (M), 1 of MDMK. At the same time, there are 8 members of BJD, 4 of AIDMK, 4 of BRS, 11 of YSRCP, 1 of Assam Gana Parishad, 1 of BSP, 1 of Mizo National Front, 1 of NPP, 1 of PMK, 1 of TMC (M), 1 of UPP (L). The number of nominated is 6. The number of independents and others is 3.
Source (PTI) (NDTV) (HINDUSTANTIMES)